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Red126
88846.0
40424.7
44649.6
Blue48
1067922.2
371412.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10167020408012014016012648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+64Teleop
+76Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
20Coral scored#6
72Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
92Total teleop32
Reef
11L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
2Foul points0
126Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
46.02.0
41.343.3
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
red by 23.7
22.21.7
23.321.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Second
404
#14
24.72.0
24.326.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
red by 12.5
3714
#22
12.21.8
12.310.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
4464
#26
9.62.7
6.89.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 1.3
8.31.7
13.111.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed