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Red66
242121.8
970913.4
111121.1
Blue79
558713.6
172743.8
1067922.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549102040801001201401606679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
55Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
66Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#20
21.81.1
21.322.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 22.0
43.80.1
42.642.7
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Second
1111
#10
21.10.9
19.220.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 1.1
22.20.1
22.222.3
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Third
9709
#27
13.40.9
12.613.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
blue by 0.1
5587
#13
13.60.1
13.113.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned