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Red174
19061.7
456424.0
632972.0
Blue112
5845.3
16634.6
615324.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310550150200250174112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+72Teleop
+60Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave3
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points13
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
24Coral scored#17
87Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
107Total teleop70
Reef
15L4#8
10L3#5
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +62
2Foul points0
174Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.1
71.972.0
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
red by 26.7
58
#8
45.30.1
45.445.3
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Second
190
#2
61.70.1
61.761.7
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
red by 27.2
166
#7
34.60.1
34.634.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
4564
#29
24.00.1
24.024.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
blue by 0.2
6153
#15
24.30.1
24.324.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7