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Red56
802318.0
456424.0
331436.4
Blue77
172923.3
12632.5
417616.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104720501502005677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
39Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
56Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.44.0
37.333.3
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
red by 4.0
126
#11
32.50.4
26.727.1
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
Second
4564
#29
24.04.0
32.128.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
red by 0.7
1729
#23
23.30.4
16.817.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
8023
#24
18.04.0
19.515.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
red by 1.3
4176
#13
16.60.4
23.924.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned