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Red124
19061.7
9545.3
359720.5
Blue50
12632.5
616115.6
23816.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11057010015020012450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+68Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
75Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#9
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
124Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#2
61.73.7
39.042.8
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
red by 29.3
126
#11
32.50.5
27.126.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
Second
95
#6
45.33.7
30.234.0
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
red by 28.5
238
#25
16.80.5
10.09.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Third
3597
#27
20.53.7
21.325.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
red by 5.0
6161
#20
15.60.5
17.016.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed