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Red127
23816.8
46741.1
9545.3
Blue144
632972.0
905611.3
542225.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100956080120140127144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points54
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
12Processor points24
12Net points16
24Algae points40
88Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
127Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#6
45.32.8
38.941.8
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
blue by 26.6
72.04.4
62.166.5
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
Second
467
#3
41.12.8
39.041.8
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
red by 16.0
5422
#10
25.13.4
17.721.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Third
238
#25DQ
16.82.2
13.615.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
red by 5.5
9056
#28
11.34.4
7.311.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned