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Qual 412025 NE District Southern Maine Event
Red45
331436.4
905611.3
404119.5
Blue94
802318.0
17223.7
9545.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85892040601001201401604594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+51
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +47
3Coral scored#12
9Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
13Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
45Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#9
36.42.8
44.2→41.4
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
blue by 8.9
95
#6
45.32.2
36.7→38.9
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
Second
4041
#22
19.52.8
19.2→16.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
blue by 4.3
172
#18
23.72.1
21.6→23.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
Third
9056
#28
11.33.0
10.3→7.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 6.6
8023
#24
18.02.1
14.3→16.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned