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Red87
802318.0
447324.6
13146.8
Blue55
404119.5
615324.3
905512.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897840601001201408755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
67Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
87Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
46.80.9
36.335.4
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
red by 22.6
6153
#15
24.33.2
26.523.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
Second
4473
#12
24.60.9
23.823.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
red by 5.2
4041
#22
19.53.2
23.720.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
Third
8023
#24
18.00.9
15.514.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
red by 6.0
9055
#26
12.03.2
18.715.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed