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Red92
456446.2
454636.8
791316.9
Blue75
16644.9
5019.8
492516.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82766070901001109275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+43Teleop
+29Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points21
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
77Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points18
92Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.4
24.024.4
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
red by 1.3
166
#9
44.91.0
34.633.6
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
Second
4546
#14
36.80.6
25.626.2
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 20.6
4925
#25
16.11.0
17.916.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
7913
#27
16.90.6
24.925.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
red by 7.1
501
#28
9.81.0
13.812.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned