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Red103
767431.8
490961.5
790710.5
Blue92
802324.9
456446.2
252321.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128320406010012014016018010392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+1
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points55
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
59Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
103Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.2
57.557.4
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
red by 15.3
46.20.6
38.238.8
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
Second
7674
#15
31.80.3
28.227.9
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
red by 6.9
8023
#20
24.90.6
23.123.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
Third
7907
#17
10.50.3
13.713.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 11.0
2523
#29
21.61.0
16.217.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed