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Red100
16644.9
271340.8
404128.7
Blue55
905524.9
910131.9
492516.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1387405010015020010055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points24
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
68Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
100Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#9
44.90.6
41.340.6
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
red by 13.0
9101
#21
31.91.3
29.428.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
Second
2713
#12
40.80.6
41.240.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
red by 15.9
9055
#24
24.90.9
23.522.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Third
4041
#11
28.70.6
27.226.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
red by 12.6
4925
#25
16.10.9
15.214.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed