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Red150
13351.5
767431.8
456446.2
Blue111
17240.9
910131.9
271340.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112580100160180200220150111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+49Teleop
+37Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave6
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points20
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
117Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#7
7L3#4
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +39
2Foul points0
150Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#6
51.50.5
49.650.2
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
red by 10.6
172
#8
40.90.1
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
Second
46.20.5
44.444.9
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
red by 5.5
2713
#12
40.80.1
40.840.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Third
7674
#15
31.80.5
30.030.5
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
blue by 0.1
9101
#21
31.90.1
32.031.9
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6