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Red30
47357.6
754621.5
Blue64
513312.3
335430.1
742135.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4511601001502002503064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points6
30Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7546
#21
21.52.0
27.425.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End1.4
blue by 14.2
35.72.6
30.828.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End3.3
Second
4735
#30
7.62.0
15.914.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
blue by 22.5
3354
#17
30.12.6
45.042.4
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End2.2
Third
1.52.6
10.37.7
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End1.2
blue by 10.9
5133
#24
12.32.6
21.719.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned