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Red67
998211.2
352631.3
928029.5
Blue109
1022517.9
742135.7
440073.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56124010015020025067109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+38
Endgame+44
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
53Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points0
67Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3526
#14
31.30.1
25.425.3
Auto4.0
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 42.4
73.70.0
69.969.9
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
Second
9280
#37
29.50.1
33.433.3
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9
blue by 6.2
35.70.0
28.528.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End3.3
Third
9982
#16
11.20.2
7.97.7
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 6.7
17.90.0
10.610.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed