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Red80
928029.5
670227.2
665220.2
Blue84
997821.0
664731.6
347865.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021240501502002508084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points54
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
60Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
14Foul points0
80Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#37
29.51.9
44.342.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9
blue by 35.8
65.22.0
68.066.0
Auto18.1
Teleop39.1
End8.0
Second
6702
#33
27.21.9
34.832.9
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
blue by 4.4
6647
#13
31.62.0
36.534.5
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.4
Third
6652
#18
20.21.9
15.313.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4
blue by 0.8
9978
#10
21.03.3
9.56.2
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed