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Red76
588719.0
1022517.9
997821.0
Blue17
47357.6
35277.1
571630.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17620501001502007617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +50
15Coral scored#4
53Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
67Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
76Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9978
#10
21.05.0
6.911.9
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
blue by 9.4
5716
#38
30.42.3
33.431.1
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End4.5
Second
19.03.0
13.316.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7
red by 11.4
4735
#30
7.62.3
7.95.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Third
17.93.0
10.613.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End1.6
red by 10.8
3527
#26
7.12.3
10.68.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed