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Red48
473127.6
440341.7
Blue141
315841.5
440073.7
588719.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8516205010015020025048141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+81
Endgame+91
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +57
6Coral scored#14
20Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
30Total teleop87
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
6Foul points8
48Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.72.3
45.343.0
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End7.0
blue by 32.0
73.70.3
70.270.5
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
Second
4731
#32
27.62.3
27.825.5
Auto1.7
Teleop26.2
End-0.4
blue by 13.9
41.50.3
41.942.2
Auto3.4
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Third
1.52.3
3.81.5
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End1.2
blue by 17.6
19.00.3
16.616.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned