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Red81
601737.1
47357.6
352631.3
Blue30
478211.2
92825.4
393310.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7419040601001201401608130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
56Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
81Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.9
31.132.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
red by 25.9
4782
#35
11.20.2
11.011.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.8
Second
3526
#14
31.30.9
28.429.2
Auto4.0
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 20.7
3933
#36
10.60.2
10.410.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Third
4735
#30
7.60.9
6.87.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 2.3
9282
#29
5.40.2
5.15.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed