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Red148
347865.2
754621.5
463566.6
Blue161
928029.5
440073.7
742135.7
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162136050100200250148161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
8Coral scored#7
40Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#22
40Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
82Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#7
5L2#9
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
148Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.1
65.765.6
Auto17.5
Teleop38.7
End10.4
blue by 7.1
73.70.6
71.872.4
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
Second
65.20.1
64.364.2
Auto18.1
Teleop39.1
End8.0
red by 29.5
35.70.6
33.834.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End3.3
Third
7546
#21
21.50.1
20.520.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End1.4
blue by 8.0
9280
#37
29.50.6
27.628.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9