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Red83
921310.1
998211.2
571630.4
Blue93
664731.6
1022517.9
595919.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477201001502008393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
59Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points0
83Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#38
30.40.7
29.730.4
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End4.5
blue by 1.3
6647
#13
31.60.5
30.731.2
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.4
Second
9982
#16
11.21.0
10.211.2
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 8.3
5959
#28
19.50.5
18.619.1
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Third
9213
#12
10.10.7
9.410.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 7.7
17.90.5
17.017.5
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End1.6