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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747450607080901001106583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +14
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
50Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
65Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.1
23.523.6
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
blue by 4.0
27.70.4
25.626.0
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Second
5248
#16
22.00.1
21.821.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
blue by 3.0
25.00.4
22.923.3
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Third
5501
#13
17.20.1
17.017.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
blue by 2.2
7226
#30
19.40.4
17.317.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6