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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58564045506065706847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+31Teleop
+27Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
55Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points6
68Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#30
24.01.0
14.315.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End2.9
red by 1.3
5555
#24
22.60.8
17.917.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Second
5167
#11
22.81.0
14.916.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 8.4
9735
#29
14.40.8
13.913.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
7660
#33
18.41.0
17.518.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
red by 9.2
6057
#40
9.20.8
13.512.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed