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Red119
776961.3
766018.4
652828.8
Blue58
817929.2
555522.6
556723.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11480406010012014016011958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+39Teleop
+59Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
70Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
2Foul points0
119Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.31.8
50.452.2
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 32.1
8179
#27
29.21.2
23.222.0
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
Second
28.81.8
20.822.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End5.0
red by 4.9
5567
#15
23.91.2
28.126.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
Third
7660
#33
18.41.8
18.320.1
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 4.3
5555
#24
22.61.2
17.716.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed