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Red40
653815.0
523918.9
553117.6
Blue85
837328.3
516722.8
377311.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426902060801001201404085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +37
5Coral scored#14
18Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
22Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
40Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5239
#21
18.90.1
14.614.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
blue by 9.4
8373
#28
28.32.9
29.432.3
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
Second
5531
#37
17.60.1
13.713.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
blue by 5.2
5167
#11
22.81.8
17.619.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Third
6538
#32
15.00.1
10.610.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
red by 3.3
3773
#35
11.72.9
11.514.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed