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Red156
776961.3
661843.4
364136.8
Blue54
812412.0
377311.7
1034928.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16452010015020025015654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+92Teleop
+104Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
33Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +74
19Coral scored#7
69Coral points25
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
107Total teleop33
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
0Foul points2
156Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.5
58.158.6
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 32.9
28.51.0
29.128.0
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
Second
6618
#12
43.40.5
42.643.0
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
red by 31.5
8124
#22
12.01.0
13.012.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Third
3641
#10
36.80.5
36.937.4
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
red by 25.1
3773
#35
11.71.0
12.711.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed