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Red222
86257.4
6637.3
776961.3
Blue214
24749.2
656625.5
661551.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188140100150200250222214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
0Teleop0
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points19
40Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
32Coral scored#33
116Coral points119
3Processor algae#6
6Net algae#6
18Processor points36
24Net points24
42Algae points60
158Total teleop179
Reef
14L4#9
9L3#15
8L2#8
8L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#49
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
222Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.7
59.860.6
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 10.0
6615
#17
51.31.4
48.850.2
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
Second
862
#1
57.40.7
55.956.6
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 8.2
247
#4
49.21.2
47.048.2
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Third
66
#18
37.30.7
35.836.6
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
red by 11.8
6566
#26
25.51.2
23.324.6
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5