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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731220501001502006972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
44Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
69Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#13
36.21.1
24.022.9
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
blue by 24.7
60.92.6
52.549.8
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
9566
#26
25.20.6
16.716.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 0.2
3936
#14
25.52.9
13.510.6
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1
Third
8427
#22
24.61.1
20.719.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 1.3
216
#24
23.34.4
29.124.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed