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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69590501001506045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
40Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
60Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#24
23.30.3
18.418.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
blue by 8.1
9758
#15
31.30.5
28.327.9
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Second
9208
#25
21.40.3
19.219.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
red by 2.9
7814
#20
18.60.5
15.815.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
5227
#16
20.00.2
19.119.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 17.0
9753
#35
3.00.7
7.77.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed