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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191665010015020025060161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+85
Endgame+95
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +81
10Coral scored#24
36Coral points87
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#4
6Processor points24
4Net points16
10Algae points40
46Total teleop127
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#11
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points6
60Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.2
38.637.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
blue by 23.6
60.90.1
60.660.7
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
33.71.2
34.933.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
blue by 12.5
46.20.1
45.946.0
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Third
9566
#26
25.21.2
26.525.2
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 6.1
288
#30
31.30.1
31.031.1
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0