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Red165
1065621.2
924584.3
50337.2
Blue181
296051.5
150636.9
20139.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16314350100200165181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave9
6Coral scored#6
29Coral points28
32Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +3
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points70
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
12Processor points24
24Net points16
36Algae points40
107Total teleop110
Reef
13L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points8
165Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.30.6
83.183.7
Auto18.8
Teleop55.8
End9.7
red by 32.8
2960
#14
51.51.2
49.350.4
Auto7.9
Teleop34.2
End9.4
Second
503
#2
37.20.6
36.136.6
Auto10.4
Teleop17.9
End8.9
blue by 2.1
201
#12
39.31.2
37.138.3
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End3.8
Third
21.20.6
20.020.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End6.3
blue by 15.7
1506
#23
36.91.2
34.735.8
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End6.2