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Red73
194013.3
917642.5
610032.0
Blue134
954831.4
609826.3
716036.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11599608014016018073134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+55
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#19
30Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
44Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +6
20Cage & park26
20Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
73Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#11
42.51.5
35.734.2
Auto3.5
Teleop32.4
End6.6
red by 6.5
7160
#19
36.03.2
31.434.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Second
6100
#30
32.01.5
27.926.3
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
red by 0.6
31.43.2
26.029.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
Third
1940
#37
13.32.6
20.518.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End2.7
blue by 13.0
6098
#16
26.33.2
18.221.4
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned