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Red122
191855.7
975620.9
10733.9
Blue114
1062217.9
1058961.5
791115.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124976080140160180122114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
15Coral scored#17
55Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
87Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
12Cage & park8
12Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
122Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.0
48.749.7
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
blue by 5.8
61.51.7
52.454.2
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
Second
107
#13
33.91.0
35.436.4
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9
red by 16.0
17.91.7
15.617.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Third
9756
#28
20.91.0
16.917.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
red by 5.1
7911
#40
15.81.7
14.816.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed