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Red113
553549.6
716036.0
Blue124
546221.6
922515.3
721159.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98896080120140113124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points49
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
75Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
113Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.8
44.845.6
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
blue by 9.7
59.31.5
54.055.5
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
Second
7160
#19
36.00.8
34.835.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
red by 14.5
5462
#12
21.61.5
16.518.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
9.90.8
10.311.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 5.4
9225
#31
15.31.5
13.414.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned