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Red136
954831.4
1062217.9
191855.7
Blue108
516219.9
705437.2
861232.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11787406080100140160180136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points15
33Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
77Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
136Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.72.6
52.154.7
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
red by 18.5
7054
#15
37.22.1
31.333.3
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
Second
31.42.6
28.331.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
blue by 1.1
8612
#34
32.52.1
29.031.1
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
Third
17.92.6
16.018.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 2.0
5162
#22
19.92.1
16.919.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned