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Red99
610032.0
861232.5
696312.3
Blue109
664224.1
546221.6
975620.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10380406012014016099109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#21
56Coral points74
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
18Processor points6
12Net points20
30Algae points26
86Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#8
2L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
99Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#34
32.50.5
32.031.5
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
red by 8.4
6642
#10
24.11.4
19.520.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Second
6100
#30
32.00.5
29.529.0
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
red by 10.4
5462
#12
21.61.4
18.620.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
6963
#39
12.30.5
14.414.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.1
blue by 8.6
9756
#28
20.91.4
20.221.6
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed