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Red99
861124.7
191855.7
7054.5
Blue109
49463.4
828620.7
924222.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15810815020099109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#20
41Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
65Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#8
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
99Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.72.9
57.154.2
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
blue by 7.7
494
#1
63.40.1
60.460.6
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
Second
70
#2
54.52.9
54.651.7
Auto13.6
Teleop34.0
End6.9
red by 31.6
9242
#29
22.90.1
20.020.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
8611
#21
24.72.9
25.422.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 3.9
8286
#18
20.70.1
20.420.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed