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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7764020401001201407659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#7
39Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
53Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points6
76Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
37.80.4
33.834.2
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
red by 6.7
8522
#19
31.10.9
28.127.3
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
Second
8300
#14
23.70.4
23.924.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
red by 0.2
23.50.9
20.519.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
7597
#35
14.80.4
12.613.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
red by 4.6
7221
#39
10.20.6
13.412.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed