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Red91
387524.5
819321.9
917632.6
Blue148
365840.3
956622.1
508425.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111104020030040091148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+57
Endgame+53
Fouls+57
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +57
16Coral scored#28
58Coral points99
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
76Total teleop133
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#8
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#36
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
2Foul points6
91Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#24
32.61.4
36.835.4
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
blue by 7.8
40.32.2
35.637.8
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
Second
3875
#23
24.51.4
25.524.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 1.4
5084
#12
25.92.2
23.725.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
8193
#15
21.91.4
20.118.7
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
blue by 0.2
9566
#18
22.12.2
19.521.7
Auto2.2
Teleop19.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed