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Red135
439860.7
365840.3
52609.7
Blue82
592622.3
612138.1
387524.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209405015020013582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#10
67Coral points37
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
109Total teleop57
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points2
135Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#10
60.70.4
58.759.1
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
red by 22.6
6121
#11
38.10.3
38.438.1
Auto6.5
Teleop30.2
End1.3
Second
40.30.4
38.338.7
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
red by 15.8
3875
#23
24.50.3
24.824.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Third
5260
#17
9.70.4
7.78.1
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
blue by 12.6
22.30.3
22.522.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2