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Red159
283260.1
924581.2
765630.3
Blue100
376752.5
721138.4
931249.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19215150100250300159100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +46
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#4
12Processor points6
36Net points16
48Algae points22
117Total teleop71
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
159Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.4
81.681.2
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
red by 28.7
3767
#10
52.51.1
53.652.5
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
60.10.4
60.660.1
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
red by 10.6
9312
#26
49.51.1
50.649.5
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
Third
7656
#33
30.30.4
30.730.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
blue by 8.1
7211
#24
38.41.1
39.538.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8