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Red55
719633.3
661611.7
54833.6
Blue134
24010.4
721138.4
924581.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8415005010020025030055134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+49
Endgame+69
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points26
23Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +43
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
28Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points10
55Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#20
33.62.1
45.543.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
blue by 47.6
81.20.6
82.882.2
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
Second
7196
#17
33.32.1
22.320.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
blue by 5.0
7211
#24
38.40.6
37.336.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Third
6616
#40
11.72.1
18.416.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
red by 1.2
240
#35
10.40.6
13.212.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned