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Red50
365526.2
553027.4
608140.5
Blue55
664214.2
150230.7
102348.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149126501002005055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
18Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
50Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#15
40.55.5
42.637.1
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
blue by 8.1
1023
#11
48.54.0
57.553.5
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
5530
#16
27.45.5
38.833.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
blue by 3.3
1502
#25
30.74.0
34.530.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
Third
3655
#29
26.25.5
46.641.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
red by 12.0
6642
#27
14.24.0
16.912.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed