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Red160
786520.1
6765.2
22650.9
Blue104
828048.5
54833.6
118959.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17415150100200250300160104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points26
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
88Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#5
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
30Foul points0
160Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
65.21.4
76.875.3
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
red by 5.6
59.62.7
58.055.3
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
Second
226
#3
50.91.4
59.257.8
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
red by 2.4
8280
#12
48.52.7
43.040.3
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
Third
7865
#14
20.11.4
15.414.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 13.5
548
#20
33.62.7
43.440.7
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned