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Red136
828048.5
608140.5
353851.0
Blue187
661611.7
924581.2
283260.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126165050100150200250136187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points33
44Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +49
15Coral scored#28
54Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
78Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#10
4L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
136Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#19
51.00.2
45.245.4
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
blue by 30.2
81.22.0
77.579.5
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
Second
8280
#12
48.50.2
41.942.1
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
blue by 11.6
60.12.0
55.057.0
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
Third
6081
#15
40.50.2
35.235.3
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
red by 28.8
6616
#40
11.72.0
15.817.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned