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Red59
24543.3
842412.1
786520.1
Blue82
607819.6
81521.8
148134.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7473556065708085905982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#9
23Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
43Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
59Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#13
43.30.9
43.742.8
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
red by 9.1
1481
#18
34.10.4
30.430.7
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Second
7865
#14
20.10.9
15.214.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 1.7
815
#31
21.80.4
22.422.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Third
8424
#38
12.10.9
13.112.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
blue by 7.5
6078
#23
19.60.4
17.918.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned