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Red94
719633.3
24543.3
150230.7
Blue94
376752.5
365526.2
54833.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120184501001502002503009494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
11Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#7
44Coral points26
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
60Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
94Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#13
43.3
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
blue by 9.2
3767
#10
52.5
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
7196
#17
33.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
blue by 0.3
548
#20
33.6
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
Third
1502
#25
30.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
red by 4.5
3655
#29
26.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned