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Red106
148134.1
94559.4
719633.3
Blue88
608140.5
6765.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6813105010015020010688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
62Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
106Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#18
34.12.5
30.733.2
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
blue by 31.1
67
#2
65.21.3
65.864.5
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
Second
7196
#17
33.32.5
32.234.7
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
blue by 7.1
6081
#15
40.51.3
39.337.9
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Third
9455
#37
9.42.5
5.47.9
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
red by 9.3
0.11.3
2.81.5
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed