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Red120
86253.4
765630.3
721138.4
Blue123
828048.5
661837.6
553027.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136117050100150200250120123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
73Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
120Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#7
53.40.1
52.452.4
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 4.9
8280
#12
48.51.1
44.745.8
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
Second
7211
#24
38.40.1
35.735.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
red by 0.8
6618
#28
37.61.1
35.836.9
Auto9.1
Teleop25.1
End3.4
Third
7656
#33
30.30.1
31.231.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 2.9
5530
#16
27.41.1
26.127.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned