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Red101
365526.2
842412.1
6765.2
Blue62
432726.0
283432.5
661611.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1227205010015020025010162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
48Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
101Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
65.20.1
64.564.4
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
red by 32.7
2834
#32
32.50.5
31.831.3
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Second
3655
#29
26.20.1
26.326.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
red by 0.2
4327
#22
26.00.5
26.125.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Third
8424
#38
12.10.1
12.212.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 0.4
6616
#40
11.70.5
12.211.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned