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Red174
285137.9
608143.0
663741.9
Blue193
24550.2
362066.9
602924.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133156100200174193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+7Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +21
24Coral scored#25
87Coral points90
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#6
24Processor points12
36Net points24
60Algae points36
147Total teleop126
Reef
9L4#11
10L3#10
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
174Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#29
43.00.8
42.243.0
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
blue by 23.9
66.90.7
66.266.9
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
Second
6637
#22
41.90.8
41.141.9
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
blue by 8.3
245
#1
50.20.7
49.450.2
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
Third
2851
#11
37.90.8
37.137.9
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
red by 13.9
6029
#24
24.00.7
23.324.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8